Wednesday, January 21, 2015

4Q14 portfolio performance

Here's my 4Q14 portfolio performance. I'm going to repeat the algorithm as described in the last post.
SymbolDescriptionOrig weightTotal Gain/Loss Percent
AKGASANKO GOLD INC COM ISIN #CA04341Y1051 SEDOL #B7Y5P5910.97%-17.42%
CMRXCHIMERIX INC COM4.64%27.45%
CRYCRYOLIFE INC7.52%14.52%
EVERPRAEVERBANK FINL CORP DEP SHS REPSTG 6.75% 12/31/2049 PFD ISIN 7.99%0.44%
ICONICONIX BRAND GROUP INC8.61%-7.56%
INFIINFINITY PHARMACEUTICALS INC COM ISIN #US45665G3039 SEDOL #B5.18%11.94%
NLNKNEWLINK GENETICS CORP COM ISIN #US6515111077 SEDOL #B4LHRV78.90%103.82%
RYAMRAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC COM NPV8.33%-28.14%
SESPECTRA ENERGY CORP COM8.62%-10.25%
SNMXSENOMYX INC11.72%-23.99%
SRPTSAREPTA THERAPEUTICS INC COM3.86%-38.46%

There were some fairly diverse results, including one stock doubling (up 103.8%) and another down by 38.5%. Overall, the portfolio was up a weighted 2.32%.

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

IntelliJ, Android, and Spring Integration

I spent a good part of the day using IntelliJ to build a Hello, World program using Spring Integration messaging. Here is well written article at JavaWorld.

Tonight, I am trying to do something similar, using IntelliJ to guild a Hello, World program for the Android. Here are a series of videos from IntelliJ.

I ran into a problem with permissions for the Android SDK.  The error was:

I solved the problem by restarting IntelliJ in admin mode. It had a built-in link to load the correct version of the SDK. You may read more about my solution at Stackoverflow.

Saturday, January 3, 2015

Portfolio allocation for 1Q15

Agora came out with their Focus list for 1Q15. I ran it through the Google drive / Excel / Matlab process described in the 30Dec14 blog entitled "Modern Portfolio Theory and the Regular Guy's portfolio."

They recommended 11 stocks again. Here are the weights I came up with:

Ticker    weight    name
SPX      16.82%    standard & Poor
fnma      0.00%    Fannie Mae
fmcc     14.04%    Freddie Mac
aveo     14.99%    AVEO Pharmaceutic
cry       5.56%    CryoLife, Inc. Co
kite      8.09%    Kite Pharma, Inc.
swir      3.53%    Sierra Wireless
atml      6.10%    Atmel Corporation
infn      5.38%    Infinera Corporat
atnm     10.58%    Actinium Pharmace
gsvc      8.04%    GSV Capital Corp
ozm       6.89%    Och-Ziff Capital


Because Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have a correlation of .98, it chose Freddie and disregarded Fannie. One is a proxy for the other, and there is no need to have both. (Note that a correlation of 1.0 means that you're getting the same thing twice; they are perfectly correlated.)

As I did before, I'll probably drop the S&P index and spread the weight among the others.