Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Portfolio Weights for 3Q15

The Agora Focus list for the third quarter has only 8 stocks. That makes my job easier.

Ticker Name  Recommender  Newsletter Weight
SPX Market 16.89%
adap Adaptimmune Therapeutics Stephen Petranek Breakthrough Technology Alert and Technology Profits Confidential 16.73%
al Air Lease Chris Mayer Mayer’s 100x Club and Mayer’s Special Situations 6.79%
cry CryoLife Rick Pearson Agora Financial’s Catalyst Trader 11.28%
exel Elexlixis Ray Blanco Technology Profits Confidential and Agora Financial’s FDA Trader 9.42%
hcn Health Care REIT Zach Scheidt Lifetime Income Report and Income on Demand 9.95%
nbl Noble Energy Byron King Outstanding Investments, Real Wealth Trader and Military-Tech Alert 4.66%
newt Newtek Business Service Jonas Elmerraji Penny Stock Fortunes, STORM Signals 13.32%
wtr Aqua America Jim Rickards & Dan Amoss Rickards’ Strategic Intelligence 10.96%

I didn't sell all stocks when turning over the portfolio. I held onto one, the AIG warrants, for a couple of reasons. First, it seems to have more to run left in it. Also, for tax reasons, it would be nice to go into long-term capital gains. 

I'm not investing the amount in SPX, but instead, distributing it among the remaining (or keeping stocks that I like). 

Here are a few questions that folks have asked me. 
Q: How do I execute the orders?
A: I am mostly trading a Fidelity Market basket. This allows me to trade all the stocks from a single screen. Those are market orders, My IRA is with another company, so I'm trading one stock at a time.
Q: Do you put a stop loss on the stocks?
A: No, I just let them ride for 90 days. In a sense, I have a time stop instead of a price stop.
Q: How does correlation work?
A: Correlation is a statistical function between -1 and +1. When it's close to 1 (e.g., Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in 1Q15 had a correlation of .98) the two stocks move in tandem. When it's close to -1, they move inversely. When it's close to 0, then the movement of one is almost independent of the second.

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